Kemiskinan Meski PDRB Naik: Paradoks Ekonomi Kabupaten Tuban

Authors

  • Moh. Agus Sifa' Universitas Al-Hikmah Indonesia
  • Shelvyna Rikantasari

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47776/mizania.v5i2.1852

Keywords:

poverty, GDP, inclusive growth, Tuban, economic structure.

Abstract

analyzes the relationship between economic growth and poverty reduction in Tuban Regency, focusing on the period 2019 to 2025. Although Tuban's GRDP shows a stable growth trend, this study reveals an economic paradox where the poverty rate only experiences a marginal decline. This study uses a quantitative descriptive approach, applying growth-poverty elasticity to measure the effect of economic growth on poverty reduction. The results of the regression analysis show that the increase in GRDP does not fully contribute to poverty reduction, with a regression coefficient of -0.0981, indicating a very small effect. In addition, factors such as job quality, food inflation, and spatial inequality also play a significant role in slowing poverty reduction. Based on interviews with BPS officials and local MSMEs, it was found that although economic growth exists, the unequal distribution of the benefits of growth is a major obstacle to poverty alleviation. This study recommends that economic and social policies be more inclusive and focus on improving the quality of employment, stabilizing food prices, and reducing spatial inequality so that economic growth can have a greater impact on poverty reduction in Tuban Regency.

References

Alfirman, H., & Sunardi, A. (2025). Income inequality, poverty, and inclusive economic development in Indonesia. Journal of International Conference Proceedings, 8(1), 1–12. https://ejournal.aibpmjournals.com/index.php/JICP/article/view/3946

Arsyad, L. (2020). Ekonomi pembangunan: Teori dan aplikasi. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.

Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Tuban. (2024, March 5). Pertumbuhan ekonomi Kabupaten Tuban tahun 2023 mencapai 4,36 persen. https://tubankab.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Tuban. (2025, September 17). Persentase penduduk miskin di Kabupaten Tuban kondisi Maret 2025 turun menjadi 14,13 persen. https://tubankab.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Tuban. (2025, April 11). Distribusi PDRB Kabupaten Tuban ADHB menurut Lapangan Usaha 2024. https://tubankab.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Bojonegoro. (2025, September 30). Persentase penduduk miskin Kabupaten Bojonegoro Maret 2025 turun menjadi 11,49 persen. https://bojonegorokab.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Gresik. (2025, May 19). Persentase penduduk miskin Kabupaten Gresik tahun 2025. https://gresikkab.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Kabupaten Lamongan. (2025, September 10). Profil kemiskinan Maret 2025 Kabupaten Lamongan. https://lamongankab.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jawa Timur. (2024). Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Provinsi Jawa Timur 2020–2023. https://jatim.bps.go.id/

Badan Pusat Statistik Republik Indonesia. (2025, July 25). Persentase penduduk miskin Maret 2025 turun menjadi 8,47 persen. https://www.bps.go.id/

Bourguignon, F. (2003). The growth elasticity of poverty reduction: Explaining heterogeneity across countries and time periods. In T. Eicher & S. Turnovsky (Eds.), Inequality and growth (pp. 3–26). MIT Press.

Dollar, D., & Kraay, A. (2002). Growth is good for the poor. Journal of Economic Growth, 7(3), 195–225. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020139631000

Hadi, S., Sari, A. M., & Anindita, T. (2023). Analysis of factors influencing economic growth, unemployment and poverty in Indonesia. JEJAK: Journal of Economics and Policy, 16(2), 334–350. https://journal.unnes.ac.id/nju/jejak/article/view/42032

Klasen, S. (2010). Measuring and monitoring inclusive growth: Multiple definitions, open questions, and some constructive proposals. ADB Sustainable Development Working Paper Series No. 12. Asian Development Bank.

Nababan, T. S., & Purba, E. F. (2023). Labour absorption in manufacturing industry in Indonesia: Anomalous and regressive phenomena. arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.01787. https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.01787

Pratomo, D. S., & Widodo, T. (2024). The reaction of poverty to consumption and inflation in Indonesia. European Journal of Economic and Social Evaluation and Technology, 3(2), 45–61. https://ejeset.saintispub.com/ejeset/article/view/241

Rachman, M. A., & Qolbi, M. (2023). Examining the determinants of poverty in East Java: Panel data analysis 2019–2022. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Airlangga (JEBA), 33(3), 123–137. https://e-journal.unair.ac.id/JEBA/article/view/45768

Saputri, N. A., & Deffinika, I. (2025). Relationship between human development index and poverty percentage in East Java in 2023. JHSS (Journal of Humanities and Social Studies), 9(2), 116–122. https://journal.unpak.ac.id/index.php/jhss/article/view/11093

Sutarsa, I. W., Paramita, I. B. G., & Noviyana, D. (2025). Employed yet still poor: A microdata analysis of working poverty in Indonesia. Jurnal Ketenagakerjaan Indonesia, 11(1), 1–18. https://journals.kemnaker.go.id/index.php/naker/article/view/403

Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2020). Economic development (13th ed.). Pearson Education.

World Bank. (2024, October). Indonesia poverty and equity brief. https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/099124001062512710

OECD. (2022). Inclusive growth: Policy framework and lessons for emerging economies. Paris: OECD Publishing.

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). (2023). Human Development Report 2023/2024: Breaking the Gridlock. New York: UNDP.

Tambunan, T. T. H. (2022). Perekonomian Indonesia: Kajian teori dan empiris. Jakarta: Ghalia Indonesia.

Widodo, T. (2023). Inflasi, kemiskinan dan ketimpangan pendapatan di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Indonesia, 24(1), 11–26.

Downloads

Published

2026-01-06

How to Cite

Kemiskinan Meski PDRB Naik: Paradoks Ekonomi Kabupaten Tuban. (2026). MIZANIA: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi, 5(2), 174-186. https://doi.org/10.47776/mizania.v5i2.1852